storms.report

Nineteen-E, advisory 8

Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number 8

Public advisory

National Hurricane Center · public advisory 8 · issued Oct 1, 8:43 AM UTCsource ↗

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 010843
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192026
200 AM PDT Thu Oct 01 2026
 
...DEPRESSION CONTINUES EASTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 124.6W
ABOUT 1090 MI...1760 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Nineteen-E was located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 124.6
West. The depression is moving toward the east near 14 mph (22 
km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next 
couple of days. 
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression could become a remnant low later today before 
dissipating by Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
 

Forecast discussion

National Hurricane Center · forecast discussion 8 · issued Oct 1, 8:44 AM UTCsource ↗

000
WTPZ44 KNHC 010844
TCDEP4
 
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Discussion Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192026
200 AM PDT Thu Oct 01 2026
 
Satellite imagery indicates that the convective structure associated 
with Tropical Depression Nineteen-E has changed little during the 
past several hours. Convective organization remains limited, with 
mainly intermittent bursts developing over the center. Additionally, 
scatterometer data showed that the low-level circulation is 
elongated from northeast to southwest, with peak winds up to 25 kt 
south of the circulation. Based on these data, the initial intensity 
is held at 25 kt.

Environmental conditions will continue to limit the cyclone's 
ability to strengthen or become organized over the next day or so 
due to increasing easterly shear and dry mid-level air. The guidance 
supports this scenario, showing the system degenerating into a 
remnant low in 24 h, then dissipating in 36 h as it continues 
eastward toward the vicinity of Hurricane Rachel. The NHC forecast 
is essentially an update of the previous forecast.

The depression is moving eastward at about 12 kt, and that general 
motion is expected to continue in the low-level flow until the 
system dissipates.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  01/0900Z 15.3N 124.6W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  01/1800Z 15.4N 122.9W   25 KT  30 MPH
 24H  02/0600Z 15.2N 120.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  02/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Gibbs 
 

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