Nineteen-E, advisory 7
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number 7
Public advisory
National Hurricane Center · public advisory 7 · issued Oct 1, 2:30 AM UTCsource ↗
000 WTPZ34 KNHC 010230 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192026 800 PM PDT Wed Sep 30 2026 ...DEPRESSION BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.2N 125.9W ABOUT 1170 MI...1885 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen-E was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 125.9 West. The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h) and an east to east-northeast motion is expected during the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds remain near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression could become a remnant low on Thursday before dissipating Thursday night or Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Forecast discussion
National Hurricane Center · forecast discussion 7 · issued Oct 1, 2:31 AM UTCsource ↗
000 WTPZ44 KNHC 010231 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192026 800 PM PDT Wed Sep 30 2026 Satellite images indicate that Tropical Depression Nineteen-E is poorly organized and barely a tropical cyclone. Although the system is producing some deep convection, it has been transient and lacks organization. In addition, the low-level circulation is becoming increasingly elongated from northeast to southwest. The initial intensity is held at 25 kt, in agreement with the latest satellite estimates. Strong vertical wind shear and dry air should cause continued weakening. The system could be declared a remnant low on Thursday if the convection does not increase in organization. Regardless of its status overnight and Thursday, it seems very likely that the depression will dissipate in 24 to 36 hours as it approaches Hurricane Rachel to its east. The NHC forecast has moved up dissipation to 36 hours, in agreement with all of the global model guidance. The depression is moving east-northeastward at 12 kt, and that general motion is expected to continue in the low-level flow until the system dissipates. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0300Z 15.2N 125.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 01/1200Z 15.4N 124.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 02/0000Z 15.4N 122.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
