storms.report

Nineteen-E, advisory 9

Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number 9

Public advisory

National Hurricane Center · public advisory 9 · issued Oct 1, 2:43 PM UTCsource ↗

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 011443
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192026
800 AM PDT Thu Oct 01 2026
 
...DEPRESSION MOVES FARTHER EASTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 123.3W
ABOUT 1025 MI...1645 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Nineteen-E was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 123.3
West. The depression is moving toward the east near 16 mph (26 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue for another day or so.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression should become a remnant low later today before
dissipating by tomorrow.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Katz/Blake
 

Forecast discussion

National Hurricane Center · forecast discussion 9 · issued Oct 1, 2:44 PM UTCsource ↗

000
WTPZ44 KNHC 011444
TCDEP4
 
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192026
800 AM PDT Thu Oct 01 2026
 
Not much has changed in the satellite imagery for Tropical 
Depression Nineteen-E over the last several hours. Convection 
continues to burst intermittently over the low-level center. The 
most recent TAFB Dvorak fix was T1.5/25 kt, while the UW-CIMSS 
intensity estimates are in the range of 27-41 kt. Based on the 
available data, the initial intensity has been held at 25 kt for 
this advisory.
 
The system is moving eastward or 90/14kt, and that general motion is 
expected to continue until the depression dissipates. Environmental 
conditions are expected to become more hostile within the next day 
as easterly shear increases and more dry mid-level air gets 
entrained into the center. The guidance aids continues to support 
this scenario, showing the system dissipating within 24 h. The 
current NHC intensity forecast is essentially an update from the 
previous forecast.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  01/1500Z 15.2N 123.3W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  02/0000Z 15.1N 121.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Katz/Blake
 

The warnings for your places, on your iPhone

Save the places you care about and get a notification when the National Weather Service issues an alert there. Follow a hurricane for each new advisory. Widgets and an Apple Watch app. More about the app

Download on the App StoreFree · iPhone and iPad