Nineteen-E, advisory 2
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number 2
Public advisory
National Hurricane Center · public advisory 2 · issued Sep 29, 8:32 PM UTCsource ↗
000 WTPZ34 KNHC 292032 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192026 200 PM PDT Tue Sep 29 2026 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 130.8W ABOUT 1490 MI...2400 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen-E was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 130.8 West. The depression is moving toward the east near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days, and this system is expected to degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone by Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Evans/Kelly
Forecast discussion
National Hurricane Center · forecast discussion 2 · issued Sep 29, 8:34 PM UTCsource ↗
000 WTPZ44 KNHC 292034 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192026 200 PM PDT Tue Sep 29 2026 Tropical Depression Nineteen's convection has dwindled quite a bit over the last several hours. The system's low-level center remains completely exposed, with lingering convective activity lying several dozen miles to the north of the circulation. Scatterometry data from this afternoon just clipped the storm's eastern flank, so TD 19's initial intensity will hedge more towards TAFB's latest Dvorak estimate of 2.0/30 kt, remaining steady from the last advisory. Satellite imagery suggests that forward speed has slowed as well, with the initial motion set at 85/6 kt. The depression is generally expected to remain on an eastward trajectory as it is steered by a northward-displaced equatorial trough. Little was changed in the track forecast from the previous advisory, as models are largely in good agreement on the storm's path. Only slight adjustments in forward speed were made to better follow current trends. Several environmental factors will inhibit further development of the depression. Moderate vertical wind shear, drying mid-level air, and marginal SSTs left in the wake of the remnants of Odalys are likely to keep the system from reaching tropical storm strength. Diurnal convection cycles may allow the system to briefly flirt with tropical storm strength, however simulated satellite imagery across global models depict little to no convection for this system over the next 48 h. The latest intensity forecast moves up the depression's post-tropical transition time to Thursday afternoon, and dissipation is forecast shortly thereafter. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/2100Z 14.2N 130.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 30/0600Z 14.2N 129.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 30/1800Z 14.4N 127.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 01/0600Z 14.7N 125.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 01/1800Z 14.8N 124.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 02/0600Z 14.9N 122.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Evans/Kelly
