Nineteen-E, advisory 3
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number 3
Public advisory
National Hurricane Center · public advisory 3 · issued Sep 30, 2:33 AM UTCsource ↗
000 WTPZ34 KNHC 300233 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192026 800 PM PDT Tue Sep 29 2026 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WEAKENS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 130.2W ABOUT 1470 MI...2365 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen-E was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 130.2 West. The depression is moving toward the east-southeast near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days, and this system is expected to degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone by Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Evans/Pasch/Cangialosi
Forecast discussion
National Hurricane Center · forecast discussion 3 · issued Sep 30, 2:35 AM UTCsource ↗
000 WTPZ44 KNHC 300235 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192026 800 PM PDT Tue Sep 29 2026 The majority of Tropical Depression Nineteen-E's convection has dissipated this evening. That being said, visible satellite imagery still depicts a closed circulation, and a round of nocturnal convection may re-ignite the system's strength, albeit briefly. As a result, the depression's initial intensity was lowered slightly to 25 kt. Initial motion was estimated to be 105/08 kt. The depression is expected to maintain a generally eastward path, with slight wobbles in its track, as it is guided by a northward-displaced equatorial trough. With models overall exhibiting strong agreement in the system's trajectory, minimal changes were made to the latest track forecast. With Nineteen-E remaining in an environment defined by moderate vertical wind shear, drying mid-level air, and marginal SSTs left in the wake of the remnants of Odalys, the time to post-tropical transition was moved up slightly to 36 h, or Thursday morning. With how little convection is persisting this evening, however, it is very possible that post-tropical transition could occur sooner. The biggest source of uncertainty in the forecast is the degree to which diurnally-enhanced convection will occur, if at all. The latest intensity forecast keeps the depression's strength steady through the forecast period, with dissipation still expected to occur by early Friday morning. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0300Z 13.8N 130.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 30/1200Z 14.0N 128.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 01/0000Z 14.4N 127.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 01/1200Z 14.7N 125.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/0000Z 14.8N 123.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Evans/Pasch/Cangialosi
