Fay, advisory 19
Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 19
Public advisory
National Hurricane Center · public advisory 19 · issued Sep 24, 8:32 PM UTCsource ↗
000 WTNT31 KNHC 242032 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026 ...FAY CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 900 PM GMT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.8N 41.8W ABOUT 1020 MI...1640 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM GMT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 29.8 North, longitude 41.8 West. Fay is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h). A generally westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible overnight before weakening likely commences by Friday afternoon. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Blake
Forecast discussion
National Hurricane Center · forecast discussion 19 · issued Sep 24, 8:33 PM UTCsource ↗
000 WTNT41 KNHC 242033 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026 Deep convection continues near and northeast of Fay's center, though the southwestern portion of the circulation is partially exposed. There has been no significant change to the satellite intensity estimates, so the initial intensity remains 45 kt. Fay has some chance to intensify overnight before an increase in easterly shear helps mix in very dry air outside the central core. The shear is expected to get fairly strong by the weekend, which should cause Fay to decay into a post-tropical cyclone in a couple of days. No significant changes were made to the intensity forecast. Fay's initial motion is unchanged at 270/5 kt. A ridge over the central Atlantic should steer the storm slowly westward during the next few days. Track guidance is in relatively good agreement, and the new forecast is basically an update of the previous one, near the Google DeepMind and HCCA aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/2100Z 29.8N 41.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 25/0600Z 29.8N 42.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 25/1800Z 29.7N 43.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 26/0600Z 29.5N 44.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 26/1800Z 29.5N 45.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 60H 27/0600Z 29.5N 46.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
