Fay, advisory 18
Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 18
Public advisory
National Hurricane Center · public advisory 18 · issued Sep 24, 2:39 PM UTCsource ↗
000 WTNT31 KNHC 241439 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 300 PM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026 ...FAY STRENGTHENS WHILE MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.8N 41.2W ABOUT 990 MI...1590 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 29.8 North, longitude 41.2 West. Fay is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h). A generally westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible through tonight. A gradual weakening trend is expected to commence on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Forecast discussion
National Hurricane Center · forecast discussion 18 · issued Sep 24, 2:40 PM UTCsource ↗
000 WTNT41 KNHC 241440 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 300 PM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026 Resilient Fay has strengthened this morning. Deep convective curved bands have developed both on the west and east sides of the cyclone, and a small cold cloud top deep burst of convection is persisting over the surface center. Based on the improved cloud pattern and an increase in the Dvorak satellite intensity estimated from TAFB, the initial intensity is raised to 45 kt. Fay remains over warm ocean waters and a favorable upper-level wind environment. Only a relatively stable, dry surrounding atmosphere is preventing Fay from strengthening significantly. By the weekend, deep-layer shear is expected to increase, which should induce a weakening trend. Subsequently, Fay is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low. Fay's initial motion is estimated to be due west, or 270/5 kt. This general motion should continue with a slight reduction in forward speed through dissipation on Sunday. The NHC track forecast is similar to the previous advisory and lies close to the skilled HFIP HCCA and GDMI TC ensemble mean. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/1500Z 29.8N 41.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 25/0000Z 29.8N 42.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 25/1200Z 29.7N 42.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 26/0000Z 29.6N 43.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 26/1200Z 29.5N 45.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 27/0000Z 29.5N 46.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Roberts
