Fay, advisory 17
Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 17
Public advisory
National Hurricane Center · public advisory 17 · issued Sep 24, 8:34 AM UTCsource ↗
000 WTNT31 KNHC 240834 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 AM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026 ...FAY MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.8N 40.5W ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 29.8 North, longitude 40.5 West. Fay is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A generally westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible over the next day or so, with gradual weakening expected thereafter. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Kelly
Forecast discussion
National Hurricane Center · forecast discussion 17 · issued Sep 24, 8:35 AM UTCsource ↗
000 WTNT41 KNHC 240835 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 AM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026 Convection has continued to burst in pulsing bands around the low-level circulation of Fay this morning. Subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates remain around 30-35 kt, which is consistent with the scatterometer pass from the previous advisory. Based on these estimates and the relatively steady state of the convective organization, the initial intensity is held at 35 kt for this advisory. The storm is estimated to be moving at an estimated motion 270/6 kt. A generally westward motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected to continue during the next few days while Fay is steered along the southern periphery of a mid-level ridge located to the north. The NHC track forecast is essentially an update of the previous one, as the track model guidance remains tightly clustered. Fay is traversing sea surface temperatures around 27-28C in an environment of low vertical wind shear. However, the system is embedded within a dry air mass, which should prevent significant strengthening. In about 24-48 hours, vertical wind shear is forecast to increase, which should cause the system to gradually weaken and limit deep convection. At that time, Fay is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous advisory and lies near the consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/0900Z 29.8N 40.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 24/1800Z 29.9N 41.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 25/0600Z 29.9N 42.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 25/1800Z 29.8N 43.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 26/0600Z 29.6N 44.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 26/1800Z 29.6N 45.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 27/0600Z 29.8N 45.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kelly
