Public advisory
Central Pacific Hurricane Center · issued Sep 28, 8:46 AM UTC · source
000 WTPA32 PHFO 280846 TCPCP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Nolo Advisory Number 31 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP152026 Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM HST Sun Sep 27 2026 ...NOLO COULD SOON REACH CATEGORY 5 INTENSITY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 161.3W ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...929 MB...27.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Nihoa to French Frigate Shoals. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Hurricane Warning may be required for portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument on Monday. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Nolo was located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 161.3 West. Nolo is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is forecast on Monday, with a turn toward the north expected on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Nolo will remain well south and southwest of the main Hawaiian Islands but will approach the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher gusts. Nolo is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is expected, and Nolo could become a category 5 hurricane on Monday. A gradual weakening trend is likely to begin by late Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 929 mb (27.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area in the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument by Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions possible by Tuesday. SURF: Swells generated by Nolo will be affecting south-facing shores of the main Hawaiian Islands for the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Large surf associated with Nolo will affect the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument beginning on Monday. These large waves will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls, especially from French Frigate Shoals to Nihoa. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM HST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Pasch